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An expanding heat dome that’s threatening much of the Lower 48 from the Central Plains eastward is also driving “major to historic” flooding in the Midwest, per the National Weather Service.
The big picture: Flood warnings and watches were in effect across the upper Midwest over the weekend for portions of Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Iowa due to the extreme weather that’s killed at least one person and resulted in hundreds of water rescues across the region.
In the early morning hours Saturday, SCFR’s USAR @iowataskforce1 deployed to Rock Valley, Iowa to assist in evacuating the town due to a breached levy. Thirteen team members with multiple rescue boats have rescued many people and animals stranded in the floodwaters. #SCFReady pic.twitter.com/SrP2QbqsOk
— Sioux City Fire Rescue (@SIOUX_CITY_FIRE) June 23, 2024
Thought bubble, via Axios’ senior climate reporter Andrew Freedman: This is a ring of fire pattern where thunderstorms are erupting around the edges of the heat dome, where the temperature contrasts plus frontal zones and jet stream energy is present.
- The Midwest flooding is quite significant even compared to the Great Flood of 1993 on the Mississippi River that killed 50 people.
Threat level: South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem declared a statewide emergency Sunday for communities affected by the storms and flooding that she said at a news conference had killed at least one person.
- Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz on Sunday declared a peacetime emergency, authorizing the state’s National Guard to be available to provide support for emergency flood operations in areas of the state experiencing extreme flood conditions.
- Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds declared a disaster in 21 counties in response to the extreme weather flooding the state’s northwest and told reporters Sunday there had been at least 250 water rescues. “The devastation is severe and it’s widespread,” she said.
- Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen announced in a statement he had authorized the deployment of a military helicopter and crew to assist with search and rescue operations in and around Sioux City in northwest Iowa.
Zoom in: “Major to historic flooding continues along portions of the Des Moines River above Saylorville Lake,” per a Sunday forecast discussion by the National Weather Service’s Des Moines office in Iowa.
- “River observations today have trended slightly higher than forecasts, which has resulted in an increase in expected crests at multiple sites.”
- This included the West Fork Des Moines River at Estherville, Emmetsburg
and Humboldt, which the NWS Des Moines noted were “either currently exceeding or forecasted to exceed their record crests.”
June 22: Ongoing flooding across parts of the Midwest is devastating communities and inundating cropland. River levels that exceed the historic floods of 1993 is an indication of severity.
But.
Welcome to the new climate reality. Heavier rains bringing new record flood heights. pic.twitter.com/NEB8Uc8hkl
— Steve Bowen (@SteveBowenWx) June 22, 2024
The City of Rock Valley, Iowa, some 50 miles southeast of Sioux Falls, ordered residents north of Highway 18 to evacuate on Saturday, as the Rock River rose to record levels.
In South Dakota, the Union County Emergency Management recommended that residents in the Dakota Dunes area evacuate on Sunday due to the threat of historic flooding.
DOT crews are hard at work to construct an additional levee to protect North Sioux City and the Dakota Dunes. https://t.co/4nETlR3i9C
— Kristi Noem (@KristiNoem) June 24, 2024
In Minnesota, Walz noted in a post to X announcing the action that intense rain had left “entire communities under feet of water, causing severe property damage and numerous road closures.”
- The NWS’ office Twin Cities on Sunday issued flood warnings and watches for several parts of the state, with river flood warnings in place around the Minneapolis–Saint Paul area and central Minnesota.
It begins. The river is currently at 13.59 feet. Possible to hit 20 feet by Friday. pic.twitter.com/V3akxMbjzl
— Andy Rodriguez (@Ands651) June 23, 2024
Zoom out: There’s a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms (level 2/5) over parts of the Upper Midwest late Monday afternoon, per the NWS’ Sunday forecast discussion.
- “There’s a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms for parts of Iowa/northern Missouri into northern Illinois, southern Wisconsin, southwest Lower Michigan, northern Indiana and northwestern Ohio,” it added.
- “There’s also a targeted Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall over parts of eastern Iowa, southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois, where storms yielding high rain rates could cause flash flooding.”
- Meanwhile, the NWS said the ongoing heat wave would continue across the Mid-Atlantic, with more record high temperatures likely.
- “In the West, triple-digit high temperatures are possible in central and southern California, Arizona, and Utah,” the NWS noted.
With soils saturated in many locations and several rivers and creek elevated or in flood, we wanted to convey not only the expected rainfall for Monday night, but also the low potential for heavier amounts. #mnwx #iawx #wiwx pic.twitter.com/71XW6dwMug
— NWS La Crosse (@NWSLaCrosse) June 24, 2024
Context: Climate change is raising the frequency and severity of extreme weather events across the world, from heat waves to flooding, multiple studies show.
Go deeper: Attributing extreme weather to climate change
Editor’s note: This article has been updated with new details throughout.
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